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ORA:EURONEXT PARISOrange SA Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-10 - not real-time

$109.85

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Ormat Technologies (ORA) trades at a price well above its DCF‑derived fair value of roughly $75 and carries a trailing P/E of 54× versus an industry average of 21×, indicating the stock is currently overvalued. The company posted solid revenue growth of nearly 20% YoY and maintains a modest dividend yield of 0.44% with a payout ratio under 25%, yet free cash flow remains negative and leverage is high (debt‑to‑equity >100%). Technicals show a neutral trend: the 20‑day SMA sits above the current price, the MACD histogram is bearish and RSI hovers around 42, while volume is increasing. Recent news is mixed – a Jefferies downgrade to “Hold” tempers sentiment, but a new 150 MW geothermal PPA with Google adds a positive catalyst.
Overall, the valuation gap and elevated risk metrics suggest caution in the near term, but the company’s growth trajectory in renewable power and strategic contracts could support a longer‑term upside if execution improves and cash generation turns positive.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD histogram and price below the 20‑day SMA
  • Jefferies downgrade to Hold
  • Increasing volume but price near recent support

Medium Term

1–3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Significant overvaluation relative to DCF and peers
  • Negative free cash flow and high leverage
  • Potential price correction toward fair value

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth and expanding renewable portfolio
  • Strategic 150 MW geothermal PPA with Google
  • Long‑term upside from global clean‑energy demand

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth19.60%
Profit Margin12.52%
P/E Ratio54.4
ROE4.84%
ROA1.75%
Debt/Equity106.16
P/B Ratio2.6
Op. Cash Flow$335.1M
Free Cash Flow$-291521248
Industry P/E20.8

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI42.0
Support$100.84
Resistance$127.79
MA 20$114.77
MA 50$117.70
MA 200$101.08
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index77.57

Valuation

Fair Value$74.90
Target Price$128.00
Upside/Downside16.52%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.44%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.58
Volatility43.22%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.